Substantiation of business models in the agro-industry: The case of Kazakhstan and Central Asian countries

Rakhila Rakhmetova, Regina Andekina, Kulzada Abenova, Urpash Shalbolova, Aida Aimagambetova
Download article Read article

Abstract

The purpose of the study was to investigate the key factors influencing the choice and effectiveness of business models in the agro-industrial sector of Kazakhstan and Central Asia. The research methodology included an analysis of statistical data, a comparative analysis of business models, and an assessment of the impact of external economic and climatic factors on the sustainability of agribusiness in the region. In the course of the study, the existing business models of agricultural enterprises were investigated and categorised, their key features and factors influencing their choice were identified. The dynamics of the total volume of agricultural production in Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Kyrgyzstan was analysed with the conversion of indicators into USD, which helped to objectively assess the scale and trends of the agricultural sector. The total volume of agricultural production in Kazakhstan in 2023 amounted to USD 16.12 billion, in Uzbekistan – USD 35.26 billion, and in Kyrgyzstan – USD 4.44 billion. Investment projects in the agro-industry, including large investments in greenhouse complexes, processing of agricultural products and digitalisation of the industry, were considered in detail. Using the example of Atameken-Agro, a detailed financial analysis was carried out, fluctuations in profitability and the impact of economic factors on business profitability and sustainability were revealed. The results showed that digitalisation, the introduction of precision agriculture, vertical integration, and an export orientation for processed products are the key drivers of the region’s agro-industry growth. Based on the identified trends, recommendations have been developed for the selection and adaptation of business models for agricultural companies in Kazakhstan and Central Asia. These include the development of cooperative structures, the introduction of sustainable agricultural technologies, increasing the investment attractiveness of the sector and the diversification of production. The conclusions of the study confirmed the need for an integrated approach to the development of agribusiness in a region where digitalisation, government support, and integration into global markets play a crucial role in increasing the competitiveness of agricultural enterprises

Keywords

investment projects; regional development; innovative technologies; agriculture; economic development

  1. Ahmad, H., Yaqub, M., & Lee, S.H. (2024). Environmental-, social-, and governance-related factors for business investment and sustainability: A scientometric review of global trends. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 26(2), 2965-2987. doi: 10.1007/s10668-023-02921-x.
  2. Aibar-Guzmán, B., García-Sánchez, I.M., Aibar-Guzmán, C., & Hussain, N. (2022). Sustainable product innovation in agri-food industry: Do ownership structure and capital structure matter? Journal of Innovation & Knowledge, 7(1), article number 100160. doi: 10.1016/j.jik.2021.100160.
  3. Akhmet, A., Nurekenova, E., Rakhimberdinova, M., Nurmukhametov, N., & Vasa, L. (2025). The impact of transport routes on Kazakhstan’s agro-industrial complex considering ESG approaches. Problems and Perspectives in Management, 23(1), 656-672. doi: 10.21511/ppm.23(1).2025.49.
  4. Arafat, M.Y., Saleem, I., Dwivedi, A.K., & Khan, A. (2020). Determinants of agricultural entrepreneurship: A GEM data based study. International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, 16, 345-370. doi: 10.1007/s11365018-0536-1.
  5. Berti, G. (2020). Sustainable agri-food economies: Re-territorialising farming practices, markets, supply chains, and policies. Agriculture, 10(3), article number 64. doi: 10.3390/agriculture10030064.
  6. Bulgakov, V., Nikolaenko, S., Holovach, I., Boris, A., Kiurchev, S., Ihnatiev, Y., & Olt, J. (2020). Theory of motion of grain mixture particle in the process of aspiration separation. Agronomy Research, 18(Special Issue 2), 1177-1188. doi: 10.15159/AR.20.069.
  7. Bureau of National statistics of Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan. (n.d.). Statistics of agriculture, forestry, hunting and fishing industries. Retrieved from https://stat.gov.kz/ru/industries/ business-statistics/stat-forrest-village-hunt-fish/.
  8. Carlucci, F., Corcione, C., Mazzocchi, P., & Trincone, B. (2021). The role of logistics in promoting Italian agribusiness: The Belt and Road Initiative case study. Land Use Policy, 108, article number 105560. doi: 10.1016/j. landusepol.2021.105560.
  9. Chen, J., & Chen, Y.J. (2021). The impact of contract farming on agricultural product supply in developing economies. Production and Operations Management, 30(8), 2395-2419. doi: 10.1111/poms.13382.
  10. Decree of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan No. UP-5853 “On Approval of the Strategy for the Development of Agriculture of the Republic of Uzbekistan for 2020-2030”. (2019, October). Retrieved from https://lex.uz/ru/docs/4567337.
  11. Dentoni, D., Bijman, J., Bossle, M.B., Gondwe, S., Isubikalu, P., Ji, C., Kella, C., Pascucci, S., Royer, A., & Vieira, L. (2020). New organizational forms in emerging economies: Bridging the gap between agribusiness management and international development. Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies, 10(1), 1-11. doi: 10.1108/JADEE-10-2019-0176.
  12. Di Vaio, A., Boccia, F., Landriani, L., & Palladino, R. (2020). Artificial intelligence in the agri-food system: Rethinking sustainable business models in the COVID-19 scenario. Sustainability, 12(12), article number 4851. doi: 10.3390/su12124851.
  13. Donner, M., Gohier, R., & de Vries, H. (2020). A new circular business model typology for creating value from agro-waste. Science of the Total Environment, 716, article number 137065. doi: 10.1016/j. scitotenv.2020.137065.
  14. Donner, M., Verniquet, A., Broeze, J., Kayser, K., & De Vries, H. (2021). Critical success and risk factors for circular business models valorising agricultural waste and by-products. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 165, article number 105236. doi: 10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.105236.
  15. Duncan, E., Abdulai, A.R., & Fraser, E.D. (2021). Modernizing agriculture through digital technologies: Prospects and challenges. In H.S. James (Ed.), Handbook on the human impact of agriculture (pp. 138-161). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing. doi: 10.4337/9781839101748.00018.
  16. Durham, T.C., & Mizik, T. (2021). Comparative economics of conventional, organic, and alternative agricultural production systems. Economies, 9(2), article number 64. doi: 10.3390/economies9020064.
  17. Đurić, K., Prodanović, R., & Jahić, M. (2021). Experiences of European Union countries in the field of agricultural cooperatives. Journal of Agronomy, Technology and Engineering Management, 4(3), 583-590.
  18. EastFruit. (2024a). The first stage of construction of a 500-hectare greenhouse in Kazakhstan’s Turkestan region will be completed in 2025. Retrieved from https://east-fruit.com/novosti/v-2025-godu-zavershitsya-pervyy-etapstroitelstva-teplitsy-na-500-ga-v-turkestanskoy-oblasti-kazakhstana/.
  19. EastFruit. (2024b). New fruit and vegetable processing plant opens in Kyrgyzstan. Retrieved from https://eastfruit.com/novosti/novyy-zavod-po-pererabotke-ovoshchey-i-fruktov-otkrylsya-v-kyrgyzstane/.
  20. EastFruit. (2025). More than 260 investment projects are planned to be implemented in 2025 in the agro-industrial complex of Kazakhstan. Retrieved from https://east-fruit.com/novosti/bolee-260-investproektov-planiruyutrealizovat-v-2025-godu-v-apk-kazahstana/.
  21. Fiore, M., Galati, A., Gołębiewski, J., & Drejerska, N. (2020). Stakeholders’ involvement in establishing sustainable business models: The case of Polish dairy cooperatives. British Food Journal, 122(5), 1671-1691. doi: 10.1108/ BFJ-04-2019-0263.
  22. Food security: The important role of Kazakhstan in the region. (2024). Retrieved from https://qmonitor.kz/ economics/6586?utm.
  23. Hansman, C., Hjort, J., León-Ciliotta, G., & Teachout, M. (2020). Vertical integration, supplier behavior, and quality upgrading among exporters. Journal of Political Economy, 128(9), 3570-3625. doi: 10.1086/708818.
  24. Hnatyshyn, L., Prokopyshyn, O., Maletska, O., Keleberda, T., & Pylypenko, K. (2025). Digital innovations in accounting as economic growth factors of an enterprise. Scientific Bulletin of Mukachevo State University. Series “Economics”, 12(1), 75-89. doi: 10.52566/msu-econ1.2025.75.
  25. Jeshari, S., & Esfandiari, M. (2022). Development of macro strategies for the development of agricultural exports with a futures research approach. Strategic Studies of Public Policy, 12(42), 100-116. doi: 10.22034/ sspp.2022.251751.
  26. Karabassov, R. (2024). The main results of the transition to organic agriculture in the Republic of Kazakhstan. RIVAR, 11(33), 116-129. doi: 10.35588/rivar.v11i33.6364.
  27. Kazakhstan Stock Exchange. (n.d.). Atameken-Agro. Retrieved from https://kase.kz/ru/issuers/KATR/#g3y2020.
  28. Kuandykova, M., Akpanov, A., Tleubayeva, S., Belgibayev, A., Makhmudov, A., & Atchabarova, A. (2023). Attracting investment for rural development: Introduction of organic agriculture and ESG principles in Kazakhstan. Journal of Environmental Management & Tourism, 14(5), 2196-2206. doi: 10.14505/jemt.v14.5(69).04.
  29. Laborde, D., Mamun, A., Martin, W., Piñeiro, V., & Vos, R. (2021). Agricultural subsidies and global greenhouse gas emissions. Nature Communications, 12(1), article number 2601. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-22703-1.
  30. Łuczka, W., & Kalinowski, S. (2020). Barriers to the development of organic farming: A polish case study. Agriculture, 10(11), article number 536. doi: 10.3390/agriculture10110536.
  31. MacPherson, J., Voglhuber-Slavinsky, A., Olbrisch, M., Schöbel, P., Dönitz, E., Mouratiadou, I., & Helming, K. (2022). Future agricultural systems and the role of digitalization for achieving sustainability goals. A review. Agronomy for Sustainable Development, 42(4), article number 70. doi: 10.1007/s13593-022-00792-6.
  32. Mamchur, V., Osetskyi, V., Biliavska, Yu., Umantsiv, H., & Biliavskyi, V. (2025). Strategic vectors of agribusiness development in Ukraine. Ekonomika APK, 32(1), 33-46. doi: 10.32317/ekon.apk/1.2025.33.
  33. National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic. (n.d.). Agriculture. Retrieved from https://stat.gov.kg/ru/ statistics/selskoe-hozyajstvo/.
  34. National Statistical Committee of the Republic of Uzbekistan. (n.d.). Agriculture. Retrieved from https://stat.uz/ ru/ofitsialnaya-statistika/agriculture.
  35. Nguyen, C.T., & Scrimgeour, F. (2022). Measuring the impact of climate change on agriculture in Vietnam: A panel Ricardian analysis. Agricultural Economics, 53(1), 37-51. doi: 10.1111/agec.12677.
  36. Novikov, V. (2023). The first tractor was produced in the agricultural machinery cluster of Uzbekistan. Retrieved from https://nuz.uz/2023/08/04/v-klastere-selskohozyajstvennogo-mashinostroeniya-uzbekistana-proizvedenpervyj-traktor/.
  37. Nurekenova, E.S., Rakhimberdinova, M.U., Sholpanbayeva, K.Zh., Apysheva, A.A., & Shaikhanova, N.K. (2022). Assessment of the economic efficiency of industrial enterprise management during the Kazakhstan integration into the EAEU. Polish Journal of Management Studies, 26(1), 233-249. doi: 10.17512/pjms.2022.26.1.15.
  38. Özaydın, G., & Direk, M. (2022). The role of agro-industries in rural development: The case of KonyaInternational Journal of Social and Economic Sciences, 12(2), 83-92.
  39. Petchenko, I. (2023). A new refrigerated warehouse was built in Osh region for almost 7 million soms. Retrieved from https://economist.kg/novosti/2023/09/07/v-oshskoi-oblasti-postroili-novyi-kholodilnyi-sklad-pochtiza-7-mln-somov/.
  40. Qin, Y., He, J., Wei, M., & Du, X. (2022). Challenges threatening agricultural sustainability in central Asia: Status and prospect. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19(10), article number 6200. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19106200.
  41. Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of the Kyrgyz Republic No. 574 “On Approval of the Programme for the Development of Trade and Logistics Centres in the Agro-Industrial Sector of the Economy of the Kyrgyz Republic for 2024-2028”. (2024, September). Retrieved from https://online.zakon.kz/Document/?doc_ id=35927332&pos=3;-72#pos=3;-72.
  42. Resolution of the Government of the Republic of Kazakhstan No. 732 “On Approval of the National Project for the Development of the Agro-Industrial Complex of the Republic of Kazakhstan for 2021-2025”. (2021, October). Retrieved from https://adilet.zan.kz/rus/docs/P2100000732.
  43. Sadovoy, О., Savenkov, O., Sydoryka, I., Shcherbak, Yu., & Kondratieva, А. (2023). Increasing the efficiency of machines and mechanisms of the agro-industrial complex using sliding bearings with curvilinear generators of the internal cylindrical surface. Ukrainian Black Sea Region Agrarian Science, 27(4), 60-70. doi: 10.56407/ bs.agrarian/4.2023.60.
  44. Suieubayeva, S., Denissova, O., Kabdulsharipova, A., & Ozpenсe, A.I. (2022). The agricultural sector in the Republic of Kazakhstan: Analysis of the state, problems and ways of solution. Eurasian Journal of Economic and Business Studies, 66(4), 19-31. doi: 10.47703/ejebs.v4i66.185.
  45. Ulakov, S.N., Nakipova, G.N., Borbasova, Z.N., Helmle, A.M., & Nesipbaev, R.Y. (2020). Improving the efficiency of agricultural cooperatives in the Republic of Kazakhstan. In A.V. Bogoviz, A.E. Suglobov, A.N. Maloletko, O.V. Kaurova & S.V. Lobova (Eds.), Frontier information technology and systems research in cooperative economics (pp. 805-814). Cham: Springer. doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-57831-2_87.
  46. Uzbekistan to create pear, nut and tomato processing plants with Italian investors. (2025). Retrieved from https://www.gazeta.uz/ru/2025/03/04/kiwi/.
  47. Wallander, E., Frank, B., Alaküla, M., & Márquez-Fernández, F.J. (2025). Full electric farming with on-field energy replenishment. Applied Energy, 377, article number 124416. doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124416.
  48. What problems do farmers in Kazakhstan face in terms of access to financing? (2023). Retrieved from https:// dairynews.today/kz/news/kakie-problemy-sushchestvuyut-u-fermerov-kazakhstana-v-voprose-dostupnostifinansirovaniya.html.
  49. Yanakittkul, P., & Aungvaravong, C. (2020). A model of farmers intentions towards organic farming: A case study on rice farming in Thailand. Heliyon, 6(1), article number e03039. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e03039.
  50. Zeytoonnejad Mousavian, S.R., Mirdamadi, S.M., Farajallah Hosseini, S.J., & Omidi NajafAbadi, M. (2023). Determinants of foreign direct investment inflow to the agricultural sector: A panel-data analysis. Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, 39(3), 709-729. doi: 10.1108/JEAS-11-2020-0196.
  51. Zhong, R., He, Q., & Qi, Y. (2022). Digital economy, agricultural technological progress, and agricultural carbon intensity: Evidence from China. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19(11), article number 6488. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19116488.
Rakhmetova, R., Andekina, R., Abenova, K., Shalbolova, U., & Aimagambetova, A. (2025). Substantiation of business models in the agro-industry: The case of Kazakhstan and Central Asian countries. Scientific Horizons, 28(6), 114-128. https://doi.org/10.48077/scihor6.2025.114